BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Mount Ayr

Class: 1A Class Rank: 75 Conference: (6-10) Overall: (10-12) Overall Strength =   55.89

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/30/2015 Away    W    46.54  46   36   1A  135 ( 4-17) Lamoni                  9.35     19.35                      
  2 12/01/2015 Home    L    54.93  56   66   3A   58 ( 6-16) Creston                -0.96     -9.04                      
  3 12/04/2015 Away    W *  60.20  68   60   2A   87 ( 6-15) Southwest Valley       -4.31      3.69                      
  4 12/08/2015 Home    W *  45.36  57   54   1A  111 ( 7-16) Afton East Union      -10.53     13.53                      
  5 12/11/2015 Home    L *  50.77  38   54   1A   39 (16- 8) Bedford                -5.12    -10.88                      
  6 12/15/2015 Away    L *  58.96  59   74   1A   24 (18- 7) Nodaway Valley         -3.07    -18.07                      
  7 12/18/2015 Away    L *  65.81  50   57   2A   41 (17- 5) Truro Interstate-35    -9.92    -16.92                      
  8 01/04/2016 Away    W    70.73  63   54   3A   61 ( 4-18) Osceola Clarke        -14.84     -5.84                      
  9 01/05/2016 Home    L *  44.48  67   72   2A   87 ( 6-15) Southwest Valley      -11.41      6.41                      
 10 01/08/2016 Home    W *  54.03  67   62   1A   91 ( 5-17) Martensdale M-SM       -1.86      6.86                      
 11 01/12/2016 Home    L *  54.15  48   60   1A   36 (19- 4) Lenox                  -1.74    -10.26                      
 12 01/14/2016 Away    L *  55.15  47   65   1A   26 (17- 7) Leon Central Decatur    0.74    -17.26                      
 13 01/18/2016 Home    W    62.90  61   57   1A   52 (17- 6) Murray                  7.01     -3.01                      
 14 01/22/2016 Home    W *  55.42  63   61   1A   78 (11-13) Corydon Wayne          -0.47      2.47  was 01/21 now 01/22 
 15 01/26/2016 Away    L *  49.48  53   73   1A   39 (16- 8) Bedford                 6.41    -13.59                      
      Averages              55.89  55.6 58.5

Best game:   70.73 = 9 point win over Osceola Clarke
Worst game:  44.48 = 5 point loss to Corning Southwest Valley
Team stdev:   7.36